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The “Krugman Consensus” Haunts Munk Debate About the Future of Capitalism - Peter Diekmeyer (11/12/2019)

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December 11, 2019

“Capitalism is in crisis,” say Canada’s lettuce-munching, wine-drinking elites who jammed Roy Thompson Hall last week to debate free markets.

“More and more fellow citizens have come to believe that the system no longer works,” notes Rudyard Griffiths , host and organizer of the Munk Debate series, which provides Canadians with opportunities to reflect on key issues.

“They believe that capitalism is poisoning the planet,” says Griffiths. “They worry about how capitalism is concentrating the power in the hands of wealthy elites.”

The questions raised in the debate, which was broadcast on CPAC, were good. However, the scope was limited by the ghost of what we call the “ Krugman Consensus .”

This body of global economic thought, led by New York Times columnist and Nobel laureate Paul Krugman, broadly argues that government management of the economy generates “the greatest good for the greatest number of people.”

Indeed the panelists all tacitly accepted this misguided approach, which has justified continued growth in government spending, taxation, and debt financing at a pace that is faster than economic growth for the past three decades.

The result was an incomplete performance, which left key issues off the table.

Stagnant wages, rising inequality

The high-powered panel Griffiths assembled summarized key issues well.

Yanis Varoufakis, the former Finance Minister of Greece, cited unsustainable debts, brazen authoritarianism, and catastrophic climate change as key issues.

“Capitalism’s main problem is with itself,” says Varoufakis. “It is undermining humanity’s capacity to share prosperity. We have the highest level of savings in history and the lowest level of investment into things that are necessary for human dignity.”

Katrina vanden Heuvel, long-time publisher of The Nation magazine, decried four decades of stagnant wages in America despite a dramatic increase in education levels.

Vanden Heuval cited a recent agreement by two hundred business leaders—that corporations need to favor stakeholder returns over outright profits—as a sign of growing recognition of the system’s failures.

Holding a debate about capitalism … without inviting any capitalists?

Holding a debate about capitalism without inviting any actual capitalists seems odd.

Mark Skousen, Martin Armstrong, Jeff Deist, or any number of Misesian or Austrian economics scholars would have made the obvious point: governments dominate the commanding heights of the global economy.

Public sector officials overtly manage consumer prices, manipulate stock and bond markets, spend or transfer wealth in excess of 60% of GDP, and intervene in every single financial transaction.

Put bluntly: there is hardly a single free market left in the western world.

The Krugman Consensus: the greatest good for the greatest number of elites…

Worse, contrary to its lofty goals, the Krugman Consensus appears to be generating the greatest amount of good for the greatest number of elites (not the ordinary folk it claims to champion).

Governments, the big banks, and car companies were all bailed out after the last financial crisis.

If capitalism existed in Canada, those institutions would have been wiped out in their current form and replaced by more efficient bodies.

Indeed government bailouts of the gas-guzzling automotive sector, coupled with secret subsidies provided by suppressed interest rates, likely held back development of the electric car industry by nearly a decade.

New York Times columnist David Brooks accidentally stumbled into the truth when he noted that public sector officials—even bright ones—are unable to make effective decisions because they lack the price signals that free markets provide.

Indeed the audience voted down the debate resolution, which stated that while capitalism was broken, it was time to try something new.

Maximum misery for the greatest number of ordinary folk

However, the tragic effects of the Krugman Consensus could be seen most clearly on Arthur Brooks, arguably the brightest debater on the stage.

Brooks, a former musician and head of the American Enterprise Institute, argued that globalization, free trade, property rights, the rule of law, and culture of entrepreneurship “pulled two billion people out of poverty.”

That is only partly true.

In truth most were trickle-down beneficiaries of $200 trillion worth of public sector, business, and household borrowing and spending.

One day, sooner rather than later, those debts will need to be repaid.

When that happens, many of those two billion people will be pushed right back where they came from.

Indeed the legacy of the Krugman Consensus is that it might end up creating “maximum misery for the greatest number of people.”

None of the presenters on the Munk Debate stage pointed any of this out.

Which suggests that you can’t have an effective debate about capitalism … without inviting capitalists.

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About the Author

Peter Diekmeyer has been a business writer/editor with publications such as Sprott Money News, the National Post and Canadian Defence Review and Jane's Defence for nearly three decades. He has studied in MBA, CA and Law programs but dropped out of all three after failing to convince the academics that they were wrong about everything.  Diekmeyer has interviewed more than 200 CEOs and filed reports from dozens of countries. 

His most terrifying moment came when he spoke to central bank economists for the first time and realized that (unlike politicians) they actually believed their own analysis and forecasts. 
He has been a regular contributor to the Sprott Money blog since 2015.

*The author is not affiliated with, endorsed or sponsored by Sprott Money Ltd. The views and opinions expressed in this material are those of the author or guest speaker, are subject to change and may not necessarily reflect the opinions of Sprott Money Ltd. Sprott Money does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness and reliability of the information or any results from its use.

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